D. Bellunesi vs Trento Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 38 Zugni Tauro· Feltre Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30

D. Bellunesi PPG 1.17

0-0 MISS

Trento PPG 1.61

Home· +63.3% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Bellunesi face Trento in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Bellunesi a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Trento 44%, so Trento are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for D. Bellunesi and 1.6 for Trento (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Bellunesi are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.61 for Trento. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +63.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.4%

Odds: 5.20 EV: +63.3%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +1.7%

Away 43.8%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -34.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.3% Odds: 1.67 -9.3%

Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 2.70 -13.6%

BTTS 57.3% Odds: 1.73 -0.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Bellunesi

1.29

Trento

1.56

Model SuggestionBTTS -0.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+63.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 32.0%

Bet Hit 70% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.61)