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Ireland - First Division Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30 
Longford Town PPG 1.40 
Kerry PPG 0.40
Ireland - First Division Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30 Longford Town PPG 1.401-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Kerry PPG 0.40Home· +41.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 28.3% Odds: 2.00 -43.4%
Over 3.5 11.7% Odds: 3.50 -59.1%
BTTS 30.1% Odds: 1.73 -47.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✔
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Longford Town 1.32
Kerry 0.53
Model Suggestion
Home +41.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 37 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=56.4%