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Temperley vs Patronato Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:30

Temperley

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Patronato

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-12.2%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.6%1-14.1%1-20.4%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-022.7%2-14.0%2-20.3%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.5%3-12.5%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.8%4+-11.9%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 80.4% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 2.8% — — —

Over 2.5 34.9% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 13.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob13.7%

H 80% / xG 1.9-0.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.6%

#2 2–0 22.7%

#3 3–0 14.5%

#4 0–0✓ 12.3%

#5 4–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Temperley1.9

Patronato0.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TEMPERLEY · PPG 2.33

PATRONATO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Temperley (H) 80.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Patronato (A) 2.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Temperley face Patronato in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Temperley a 80% chance, the draw 17% and Patronato 3%, so Temperley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Temperley and 0.2 for Patronato (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 14% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Temperley are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Patronato. This match finished 0-0.

Temperley vs Patronato Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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