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San Telmo vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:30

San Telmo

PPG 1.20 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

All Boys

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-15.1%0-20.9%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.1%1-18.0%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.2%2-16.3%2-21.1%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.5%3-13.3%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-11.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.5% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 30.2% — — —

Over 3.5 12.9% — — —

BTTS 23.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob23.2%

H 68% / xG 1.6-0.3 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 23%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 23.1%

#2 2–0 18.2%

#3 0–0 14.6%

#4 3–0 9.5%

#5 1–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Telmo1.6

All Boys0.3

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN TELMO · PPG 1.20

ALL BOYS · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

San Telmo (H) 68.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

All Boys (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Telmo face All Boys in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Telmo a 69% chance, the draw 24% and All Boys 8%, so San Telmo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for San Telmo and 0.3 for All Boys (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 23% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Telmo are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.25 for All Boys. This match finished 1-0.

San Telmo vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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