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San Miguel vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:30

San Miguel

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Los Andes

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-038.6%0-115.2%0-23.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.6%1-18.5%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-06.0%2-12.4%2-20.5%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.1%3-10.4%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% — — —

Draw 47.6% — — —

Away win 20.6% — — —

Over 2.5 7.2% — — —

Over 3.5 1.6% — — —

BTTS 13.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob13.9%

H 32% / xG 0.6-0.4 / U2.5 7% / NoBTTS 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 38.6%

#2 1–0 21.6%

#3 0–1 15.2%

#4 1–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Miguel0.6

Los Andes0.4

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 7.2% · O3.5 PROB 1.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN MIGUEL · PPG 2.00

LOS ANDES · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

Win probability 1X2

San Miguel (H) 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 47.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Los Andes (A) 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Miguel face Los Andes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Miguel a 32% chance, the draw 48% and Los Andes 21%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for San Miguel and 0.4 for Los Andes (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 7% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 14% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Miguel are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.33 for Los Andes. This match finished 0-2.

San Miguel vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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