UCV Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

UCV Moquegua face FC Cajamarca in Peru - Primera División on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UCV Moquegua a 76% chance, the draw 15% and FC Cajamarca 10%, so UCV Moquegua are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for UCV Moquegua and 0.9 for FC Cajamarca (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UCV Moquegua are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.17 for FC Cajamarca. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +78.2%. This match finished 2-1.