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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 36 Stadio Dino Manuzzi· Cesena Saturday, April 25, 2026 17:30
Cesena logo Cesena PPG 1.35
0-0 MISS
Sampdoria logo Sampdoria PPG 0.65
Home· +47.1% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.3%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +47.1%
Draw 22.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -29.0%
Away 16.5%
Odds: 2.94 EV: -51.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.3% Odds: 2.10 +5.6%
Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 3.80 +7.5%
BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.77 -15.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cesena
1.85
Sampdoria
0.84

Model Suggestion

Home +47.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.35) > Away POOR (0.65)

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