Today / Northern-Ireland - Premiership / Cliftonville FC vs Portadown

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Premiership

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Cliftonville FC

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLL ·

UPCOMING

Portadown

PPG 0.84 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-15.9%0-23.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.7%1-110.8%1-25.5%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.9%3-16.0%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-14.1%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% 62.5% 1.60 -14.9%

Draw 24.1% 25.6% 3.90 -3.6%

Away win 22.8% 20.8% 4.80 +5.7%

Over 2.5 53.8% 57.8% 1.73 -6.9%

Over 3.5 32.7% 36.4% 2.75 -10.1%

BTTS 54.6% 57.8% 1.73 -5.5%

Home O1.5 52.0% 61.7% 1.62 -15.8%

Away O1.5 31.6% 26.7% 3.75 +18.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cliftonville FC1.8

Portadown1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CLIFTONVILLE FC · PPG 1.52

PORTADOWN · PPG 0.84

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cliftonville FC (H) 53.2%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -14.9%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.6%

Portadown (A) 22.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +5.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cliftonville FC face Portadown in Northern-Ireland - Premiership on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cliftonville FC a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Portadown 23%, so Cliftonville FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cliftonville FC and 1.0 for Portadown (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cliftonville FC are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 0.84 for Portadown. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +18.5%.

Cliftonville FC vs Portadown Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

More Northern-Ireland - Premiership Predictions