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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 34 Celtic Park· Glasgow Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:30
Celtic logo Celtic PPG 2.31
3-1 HIT CS5
Falkirk logo Falkirk PPG 1.44
Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 76.1%
Odds: 1.39 EV: +5.8%
Draw 14.8%
Odds: 4.65 EV: -31.2%
Away 9.1%
Odds: 7.30 EV: -33.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.1% Odds: 1.48 -2.2%
Over 3.5 44.3% Odds: 2.15 -4.8%
BTTS 50.9% Odds: 1.62 -17.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic
2.61
Falkirk
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home +5.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.31), Away AVERAGE (1.44) - Strong consensus

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