Burgos vs Deportivo Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

Burgos face Deportivo in Spain - Segunda División on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Burgos a 47% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo 24%, so Burgos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Burgos and 0.8 for Deportivo (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Burgos are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.78 for Deportivo. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 1-1.