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Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga logo Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 9 26 May Stadium· Tsqaltubo Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:00
Samgurali logo Samgurali PPG 1.33
1-2 MISS
Dinamo Tbilisi logo Dinamo Tbilisi PPG 1.67
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Samgurali face Dinamo Tbilisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samgurali a 34% chance, the draw 35% and Dinamo Tbilisi 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Samgurali and 0.8 for Dinamo Tbilisi (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samgurali are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Dinamo Tbilisi. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 35.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 30.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 21.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 7.9% Odds: —
BTTS 30.4% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Samgurali
0.83
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.77

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 44%
Score Hit 44%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

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