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Biel-Bienne vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:30

Biel-Bienne

PPG 2.38 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 89.5% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9% — a clear edge.

+16.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.9%0-20.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-01.8%1-13.2%1-22.9%1-31.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.1%2-15.6%2-25.0%2-33.0%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.6%3-16.5%3-25.8%3-33.5%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-113.6%4+-212.2%4+-37.3%4+-4+4.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.4% 67.6% 1.48 +2.7%

Draw 14.1% 21.1% 4.75 -33.0%

Away win 16.5% 23.8% 4.20 -30.7%

Over 2.5 89.5% 76.9% 1.30 +16.4%

Over 3.5 76.9% — — —

BTTS 80.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob80.7%

H 69% / xG 3.5-1.8 / O2.5 90% / BTTS 81%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.5%

#2 3–2 5.8%

#3 2–1 5.6%

#4 4–1 5.6%

#5 2–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Biel-Bienne3.5

Grand-Saconnex1.8

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 89.5% · O3.5 PROB 76.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 2.38

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 0.86

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.38), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Biel-Bienne (H) 69.4%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV +2.7%

Draw 14.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -33.0%

Grand-Saconnex (A) 16.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -30.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Biel-Bienne face Grand-Saconnex in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Biel-Bienne a 69% chance, the draw 14% and Grand-Saconnex 17%, so Biel-Bienne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Biel-Bienne and 1.8 for Grand-Saconnex (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Biel-Bienne are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 0.86 for Grand-Saconnex. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Biel-Bienne vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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