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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 36 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo· Venice Saturday, April 25, 2026 15:15
Venezia logo Venezia PPG 2.65
2-0 HIT CS2
Empoli logo Empoli PPG 0.82
Over3.5· +33.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 88.6%
Odds: 1.35 EV: +19.6%
Draw 8.0%
Odds: 4.85 EV: -61.2%
Away 3.4%
Odds: 8.00 EV: -72.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.4% Odds: 1.57 +18.4%
Over 3.5 55.6% Odds: 2.40 +33.4%
BTTS 42.6% Odds: 1.77 -24.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 3-1
5th 5-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia
3.36
Empoli
0.58

Model Suggestion

Home +19.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.4%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.65), Away POOR (0.82) - Strong consensus

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