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Hassania Agadir vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro logo Morocco flag Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 16 Stade Adrar· Agadir Saturday, April 25, 2026 15:00
Hassania Agadir logo Hassania Agadir PPG 1.00
1-1 HIT CS4
Ittihad Tanger logo Ittihad Tanger PPG 0.71
Home· +17.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hassania Agadir face Ittihad Tanger in Morocco - Botola Pro on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hassania Agadir a 51% chance, the draw 31% and Ittihad Tanger 18%, so Hassania Agadir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hassania Agadir and 0.6 for Ittihad Tanger (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hassania Agadir are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.71 for Ittihad Tanger. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +17.8%
Draw 31.4%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -5.8%
Away 17.5%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -47.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.0% Odds: 2.45 -38.8%
Over 3.5 9.7% Odds: 4.75 -53.9%
BTTS 29.4% Odds: 2.00 -41.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Hassania Agadir
1.17
Ittihad Tanger
0.56

Model Suggestion

Home +17.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 40%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -19.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.71)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org