Hrvace vs Orijent Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 28 Gradski stadion Hrvace· Hrvace Saturday, April 25, 2026 15:00

Hrvace PPG 1.62

4-0 MISS

Orijent PPG 1.14

Home· +46.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hrvace face Orijent in Croatia - First NL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hrvace a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Orijent 19%, so Hrvace are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hrvace and 1.0 for Orijent (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hrvace are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.14 for Orijent. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +46.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.7%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +46.8%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -38.7%

Away 19.4%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -49.2%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 33.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 54.1% Odds: 1.85 +0.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hrvace

1.92

Orijent

1.01

Model SuggestionHome +46.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 22.5%

Bet Hit 62% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)