Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion / Paradiso vs Lausanne B

Paradiso vs Lausanne B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:30

Paradiso

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lausanne B

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 87.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a clear edge.

+31.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.6%0-22.0%0-31.7%0-4+1.8%1 1-01.7%1-14.2%1-25.2%1-34.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.2%2-15.4%2-26.6%2-35.4%2-4+5.9%3 3-01.9%3-14.6%3-25.6%3-34.6%3-4+5.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-15.3%4+-26.5%4+-35.4%4+-4+5.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% 55.6% 1.80 -23.7%

Draw 18.4% 26.3% 3.80 -30.1%

Away win 39.1% 28.6% 3.50 +36.9%

Over 2.5 87.6% 66.7% 1.50 +31.4%

Over 3.5 73.5% — — —

BTTS 84.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob84.3%

H 42% / xG 2.5-2.5 / O2.5 88% / BTTS 84%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.6%

#2 3–2 5.6%

#3 2–3 5.4%

#4 2–1 5.4%

#5 1–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paradiso2.5

Lausanne B2.5

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 87.6% · O3.5 PROB 73.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARADISO · PPG 1.00

LAUSANNE B · PPG 0.50

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Paradiso (H) 42.4%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -23.7%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -30.1%

Lausanne B (A) 39.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +36.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Paradiso face Lausanne B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paradiso a 42% chance, the draw 18% and Lausanne B 39%, so Paradiso are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Paradiso and 2.5 for Lausanne B (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 84% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paradiso are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Lausanne B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +36.9%. This match finished 3-0.

Paradiso vs Lausanne B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Predictions