Qabala vs Araz Prediction & Tips

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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 29 Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:30

Qabala PPG 0.77

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Araz PPG 1.14

Away· +16.9% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.7%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -18.6%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -21.3%

Away 34.9%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +16.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.1% Odds: 1.95 +1.6%

Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: 3.40 +2.0%

BTTS 56.0% Odds: 1.73 -3.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Qabala

1.43

Araz

1.33

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.77) vs Away AVERAGE (1.14)