Valladolid vs Real Sociedad B Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 37 Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla· Valladolid Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:15

Valladolid PPG 1.28

1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Real Sociedad B PPG 0.83

Away· +41.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%

Odds: 1.54 EV: -21.1%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -1.7%

Away 23.6%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +41.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.3% Odds: 1.85 -12.5%

Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 3.10 -20.6%

BTTS 49.8% Odds: 1.83 -8.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✔

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid

1.58

Real Sociedad B

0.99

Model SuggestionHome -21.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+41.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.28) > Away POOR (0.83)