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Bulle vs Cham Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Bulle

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Cham

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a clear edge.

+12.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.0%0-24.0%0-32.6%0-4+2.1%1 1-03.9%1-17.7%1-27.6%1-35.0%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.7%2-17.4%2-27.3%2-34.8%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.4%3-14.7%3-24.7%3-33.1%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.5%4+-23.5%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% 45.5% 2.20 -16.0%

Draw 21.0% 26.7% 3.75 -21.3%

Away win 40.8% 39.2% 2.55 +4.0%

Over 2.5 74.7% 66.7% 1.50 +12.0%

Over 3.5 54.7% — — —

BTTS 73.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob73.6%

A 41% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulle1.9

Cham2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLE · PPG 1.71

CHAM · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Bulle (H) 38.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -16.0%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -21.3%

Cham (A) 40.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +4.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulle face Cham in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulle a 38% chance, the draw 21% and Cham 41%, so Cham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bulle and 2.0 for Cham (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulle are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.07 for Cham. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 2-4.

Bulle vs Cham Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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