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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 29 Stade des Peupliers· Bavois Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Bavois logo Bavois PPG 1.71
4-1 MISS
Lugano B logo Lugano B PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +11.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.2%
Odds: 1.39 EV: -8.0%
Draw 17.1%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -23.1%
Away 16.7%
Odds: 5.85 EV: -2.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.0% Odds: 1.39 +4.3%
Over 3.5 55.1% Odds: 2.02 +11.3%
BTTS 67.2% Odds: 1.55 +4.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bavois
2.63
Lugano B
1.29

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +4.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+11.3%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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