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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 29 Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob· Basel Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Basel B logo Basel B PPG 1.93
2-4 MISS
Kreuzlingen logo Kreuzlingen PPG 0.86
Home· +15.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.4%
Odds: 1.62 EV: +15.7%
Draw 15.7%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -32.0%
Away 12.9%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -51.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.2% Odds: 1.36 -0.4%
Over 3.5 52.7% Odds: 2.02 +6.5%
BTTS 62.1% Odds: 1.41 -12.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 3-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Basel B
2.71
Kreuzlingen
1.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 10.3%
Bet Hit 75% (20 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

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