Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 73.2% Odds: 1.36 -0.4%
Over 3.5 52.7% Odds: 2.02 +6.5%
BTTS 62.1% Odds: 1.41 -12.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -0.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 67 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 10.3%
Bet Hit 75% (20 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned STRONG_HOME Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus