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Broadmeadow vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 10:00

Broadmeadow

PPG 1.67 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 69.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.9%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.0%1-17.4%1-23.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-19.4%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.5%3-17.9%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-19.2%4+-24.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.5% 71.4% 1.40 -2.7%

Draw 16.8% 21.1% 4.75 -20.2%

Away win 13.7% 18.5% 5.40 -26.0%

Over 2.5 69.4% — — —

Over 3.5 48.1% 55.6% 1.80 -13.4%

BTTS 59.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.8%

H 70% / xG 2.5-1.1 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%

#2 2–0 8.9%

#3 3–1 7.9%

#4 3–0 7.5%

#5 1–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadmeadow2.5

Cooks Hill Utd1.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.4% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADMEADOW · PPG 1.67

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Broadmeadow (H) 69.5%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -2.7%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -20.2%

Cooks Hill Utd (A) 13.7%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadmeadow face Cooks Hill Utd in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadmeadow a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Cooks Hill Utd 14%, so Broadmeadow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Broadmeadow and 1.1 for Cooks Hill Utd (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadmeadow are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Cooks Hill Utd. This match finished 6-0.

Broadmeadow vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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