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Wingate / F. vs Aveley Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Isthmian

England - Non League Premier - Isthmian logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season - 42 The Maurice Rebak Stadium· London Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Wingate / F. logo Wingate / F. PPG 1.26
0-2 HIT CS3
Aveley logo Aveley PPG 2.05
Away· +10.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wingate / F. face Aveley in England - Non League Premier - Isthmian on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wingate / F. a 19% chance, the draw 20% and Aveley 62%, so Aveley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Wingate / F. and 2.2 for Aveley (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wingate / F. are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 2.05 for Aveley. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.9%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -34.5%
Draw 19.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -31.1%
Away 61.6%
Odds: 1.80 EV: +10.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: —
BTTS 60.9% Odds: 1.55 -5.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Wingate / F.
1.15
Aveley
2.22

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -58.6%
Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.05) vs Home AVERAGE (1.26)

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