Slaven Belupo vs Vukovar Prediction— Croatia - HNL

Match Preview & Prediction

Slaven Belupo face Vukovar in Croatia - HNL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slaven Belupo a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Vukovar 13%, so Slaven Belupo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Slaven Belupo and 0.9 for Vukovar (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slaven Belupo are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.40 for Vukovar. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +28.0%. This match finished 2-2.