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Donaufeld vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 28 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Donaufeld

PPG 1.69 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Wiener Viktoria

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.0%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.9%1-17.5%1-23.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.9%2-19.4%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-17.9%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-19.0%4+-24.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.3% 66.7% 1.50 +7.0%

Draw 16.5% 25.0% 4.00 -34.0%

Away win 12.2% 21.1% 4.75 -42.0%

Over 2.5 67.1% 66.7% 1.50 +0.7%

Over 3.5 45.4% 46.5% 2.15 -2.4%

BTTS 56.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob56.3%

H 71% / xG 2.5-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 3–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 7.9%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Donaufeld2.5

Wiener Viktoria0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DONAUFELD · PPG 1.69

WIENER VIKTORIA · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.69), Away POOR (0.83) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Donaufeld (H) 71.3%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV +7.0%

Draw 16.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -34.0%

Wiener Viktoria (A) 12.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -42.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Donaufeld face Wiener Viktoria in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Donaufeld a 71% chance, the draw 17% and Wiener Viktoria 12%, so Donaufeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Donaufeld and 0.9 for Wiener Viktoria (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Donaufeld are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.83 for Wiener Viktoria. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Donaufeld vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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