AC Milan W vs Napoli W Prediction— Italy - Serie A Women

Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 19 Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara· Milan Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00

AC Milan W PPG 1.56

0-0 MISS

Napoli W PPG 1.67

Over2.5· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

AC Milan W face Napoli W in Italy - Serie A Women on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AC Milan W a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Napoli W 28%, so AC Milan W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for AC Milan W and 1.3 for Napoli W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AC Milan W are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.67 for Napoli W. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.2%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -4.1%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -23.4%

Away 27.7%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -8.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.75 +4.0%

Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 60.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan W

1.79

Napoli W

1.29

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 38%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -71.2%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away GOOD (1.67)