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Torino U20 vs Atalanta U20 Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 17:00

Torino U20

PPG 1.41 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Atalanta U20

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 57.4% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.4%0-24.8%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.0%1-111.6%1-27.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.1%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.7%3-14.8%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 54.3% 1.84 -19.2%

Draw 24.7% 27.0% 3.70 -8.6%

Away win 31.4% 26.0% 3.85 +20.9%

Over 2.5 54.5% 55.6% 1.80 -1.9%

Over 3.5 32.1% 33.3% 3.00 -3.7%

BTTS 57.4% 58.8% 1.70 -2.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob57.4%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 9.0%

#4 1–2✓ 7.5%

#5 0–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torino U201.6

Atalanta U201.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.41

ATALANTA U20 · PPG 1.35

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

58%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.41), Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

Torino U20 (H) 43.9%

ODDS 1.84 · IMPLIED 54.3% EV -19.2%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.6%

Atalanta U20 (A) 31.4%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +20.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torino U20 face Atalanta U20 in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torino U20 a 44% chance, the draw 25% and Atalanta U20 31%, so Torino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Torino U20 and 1.3 for Atalanta U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torino U20 are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.35 for Atalanta U20. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Torino U20 vs Atalanta U20 Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

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