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Parma U20 vs Cremonese U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

Parma U20

PPG 1.65 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Cremonese U20

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.65), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-14.4%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.5%1-18.3%1-22.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.8%2-18.0%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.7%3-15.1%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-13.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.1% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 8.3% — — —

Over 2.5 42.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.9% — — —

BTTS 32.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob32.3%

H 72% / xG 1.9-0.5 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 2–0✓ 16.8%

#3 3–0 10.7%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 1–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Parma U201.9

Cremonese U200.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PARMA U20 · PPG 1.65

CREMONESE U20 · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.65), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Parma U20 (H) 72.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cremonese U20 (A) 8.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Parma U20 face Cremonese U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Parma U20 a 72% chance, the draw 20% and Cremonese U20 8%, so Parma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Parma U20 and 0.5 for Cremonese U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Parma U20 are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 0.71 for Cremonese U20. This match finished 2-0.

Parma U20 vs Cremonese U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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