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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 34
Stadio Ennio Tardini· Parma
Saturday, April 25, 2026
13:00
Parma
PPG 0.94
1-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Pisa
PPG 0.50
Home· +23.8%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
57.6%
Odds: 2.15
EV: +23.8%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -15.7%
Away
15.2%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -46.8%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
32.5%
Odds: 2.25
-26.9%
Over 3.5
14.4%
Odds: 4.20
-39.5%
BTTS
33.6%
Odds: 1.95
-34.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✔
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma
1.42
Pisa
0.58
Model Suggestion
Home
+23.8%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
55%
BTTS/No
47%
Score Hit
53%
ROI
-26.7%
Bet Hit
40%
(10 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.94) > Away POOR (0.50)