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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 34 Stadio Ennio Tardini· Parma Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00
Parma logo Parma PPG 0.94
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Pisa logo Pisa PPG 0.50
Home· +23.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.6%
Odds: 2.15 EV: +23.8%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -15.7%
Away 15.2%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -46.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.5% Odds: 2.25 -26.9%
Over 3.5 14.4% Odds: 4.20 -39.5%
BTTS 33.6% Odds: 1.95 -34.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma
1.42
Pisa
0.58

Model Suggestion

Home +23.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.94) > Away POOR (0.50)

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