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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 31 Sportpark Kort Scheiwijk· Hoornaar Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:30
SteDoCo logo SteDoCo PPG 1.07
3-0 MISS
Groene Ster logo Groene Ster PPG 0.67
Away· +21.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.2%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -29.2%
Draw 24.6%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -26.2%
Away 43.2%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +21.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 32.9% Odds: —
BTTS 58.1% Odds: 1.50 -12.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 2-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

SteDoCo
1.32
Groene Ster
1.57

Model Suggestion

BTTS -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.07) > Away POOR (0.67)

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