Peterborough PPG 1.47
Port Vale PPG 0.79Peterborough face Port Vale in England - League One on Thursday, April 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterborough a 73% chance, the draw 16% and Port Vale 10%, so Peterborough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Peterborough and 0.8 for Port Vale (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterborough are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.79 for Port Vale. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.1%. This match finished 1-3.
Based on 51 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.79)