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AFC Wimbledon vs Huddersfield Prediction— England - League One

Matchday 46 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

AFC Wimbledon

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Huddersfield

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDLW

// Model verdict

BTTS 61% chance

Model probability 57.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-18.9%0-26.1%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.7%1-112.1%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.0%2-18.2%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.7%3-13.7%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 35.5% 2.82 -1.6%

Draw 29.2% 28.2% 3.55 +3.7%

Away win 35.9% 43.5% 2.30 -17.4%

Over 2.5 51.8% 55.6% 1.80 -6.8%

Over 3.5 29.6% 33.3% 3.00 -11.2%

BTTS 57.6% 61.7% 1.62 -6.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -51.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.6%

D 29% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 6.4%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AFC Wimbledon1.4

Huddersfield1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AFC WIMBLEDON · PPG 1.27

HUDDERSFIELD · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

61%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

AFC Wimbledon (H) 34.9%

ODDS 2.82 · IMPLIED 35.5% EV -1.6%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +3.7%

Huddersfield (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

AFC Wimbledon face Huddersfield in England - League One on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AFC Wimbledon a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Huddersfield 36%, so Huddersfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.4 for Huddersfield (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AFC Wimbledon are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.00 for Huddersfield. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 0-4.

AFC Wimbledon vs Huddersfield Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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