Peterborough vs Doncaster Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 46 Weston Homes Stadium· Peterborough Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00

Peterborough PPG 1.36

1-3 MISS

Doncaster PPG 1.09

Home· +18.7% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterborough face Doncaster in England - League One on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterborough a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Doncaster 25%, so Peterborough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Peterborough and 1.1 for Doncaster (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterborough are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.09 for Doncaster. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.7%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.1%

Odds: 2.52 EV: +18.7%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +3.3%

Away 24.5%

Odds: 2.52 EV: -38.3%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: 1.50 -23.4%

Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: 2.25 -34.8%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.40 -22.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Peterborough

1.61

Doncaster

1.11

Model SuggestionBTTS -22.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.09)