Dock Sud vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

Dock Sud face Deportivo Merlo in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Thursday, April 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dock Sud a 34% chance, the draw 21% and Deportivo Merlo 45%, so Deportivo Merlo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Dock Sud and 2.1 for Deportivo Merlo (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dock Sud are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Deportivo Merlo. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +128.2%. This match finished 1-1.