Today / Germany - Frauen Bundesliga / RB Leipzig W vs Werder Bremen W

RB Leipzig W vs Werder Bremen W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

RB Leipzig W

PPG 1.27 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Werder Bremen W

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.9% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.2%0-26.3%0-33.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-06.0%1-110.4%1-29.0%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.5%2-26.5%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.1%3-13.6%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% 38.5% 2.60 -16.3%

Draw 23.3% 28.6% 3.50 -18.4%

Away win 44.6% 42.9% 2.33 +3.9%

Over 2.5 61.5% 61.7% 1.62 -0.4%

Over 3.5 39.2% 40.0% 2.50 -2.0%

BTTS 62.9% 67.6% 1.48 -6.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.9%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–1 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RB Leipzig W1.4

Werder Bremen W1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RB LEIPZIG W · PPG 1.27

WERDER BREMEN W · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

RB Leipzig W (H) 32.2%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -16.3%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -18.4%

Werder Bremen W (A) 44.6%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Leipzig W face Werder Bremen W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Leipzig W a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Werder Bremen W 45%, so Werder Bremen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for RB Leipzig W and 1.7 for Werder Bremen W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Leipzig W are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.10 for Werder Bremen W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.9%. This match finished 1-1.

RB Leipzig W vs Werder Bremen W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Predictions