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Hankofen-H. vs Vilzing Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Hankofen-H.

PPG 0.87 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Vilzing

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 57.5% vs bookmaker-implied 47.6% — a clear edge.

+20.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-111.5%0-210.4%0-36.2%0-4+4.2%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.9%2-15.2%2-24.7%2-32.8%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.6%3-21.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.6% 33.9% 2.95 -42.2%

Draw 23.0% 28.2% 3.55 -18.4%

Away win 57.5% 47.6% 2.10 +20.8%

Over 2.5 51.9% 56.5% 1.77 -8.1%

Over 3.5 29.7% 33.9% 2.95 -12.4%

BTTS 51.2% 60.6% 1.65 -15.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob51.2%

A 57% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 11.5%

#2 1–1 10.9%

#3 0–2 10.4%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hankofen-H.0.9

Vilzing1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HANKOFEN-H. · PPG 0.87

VILZING · PPG 1.20

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.87) vs Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Hankofen-H. (H) 19.6%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -42.2%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -18.4%

Vilzing (A) 57.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hankofen-H. face Vilzing in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hankofen-H. a 20% chance, the draw 23% and Vilzing 57%, so Vilzing are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Hankofen-H. and 1.8 for Vilzing (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hankofen-H. are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.20 for Vilzing. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.8%. This match finished 2-3.

Hankofen-H. vs Vilzing Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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