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Union Berlin W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Matchday 3 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 16:00

Union Berlin W

PPG 1.06 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Eintracht Frankfurt W

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS 64% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.7%0-25.4%0-33.4%0-4+2.4%1 1-04.9%1-19.2%1-28.7%1-35.4%1-4+3.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.1%3-14.0%3-23.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% 20.0% 5.00 +54.5%

Draw 24.0% 25.0% 4.00 -2.4%

Away win 45.2% 69.4% 1.44 -34.9%

Over 2.5 61.4% 69.4% 1.44 -11.6%

Over 3.5 40.2% 47.6% 2.10 -15.6%

BTTS 61.5% 65.4% 1.53 -5.9%

Home O1.5 48.1% 30.8% 3.25 +56.3%

Away O1.5 58.3% 69.4% 1.44 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -11.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob61.5%

A 45% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Berlin W1.6

Eintracht Frankfurt W1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION BERLIN W · PPG 1.06

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT W · PPG 1.38

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

64%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Union Berlin W (H) 30.9%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +54.5%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -2.4%

Eintracht Frankfurt W (A) 45.2%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -34.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Berlin W face Eintracht Frankfurt W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Berlin W a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Eintracht Frankfurt W 45%, so Eintracht Frankfurt W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Union Berlin W and 1.9 for Eintracht Frankfurt W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Berlin W are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.38 for Eintracht Frankfurt W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +56.3%.

Union Berlin W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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