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Bayern Alzenau vs Sandhausen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Bayern Alzenau

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sandhausen

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-16.0%0-26.6%0-34.8%0-4+4.4%1 1-03.8%1-18.4%1-29.2%1-36.8%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-15.9%2-26.5%2-34.8%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.3%3-12.8%3-23.1%3-32.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.2% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 55.5% — — —

Over 2.5 69.9% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 67.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob67.2%

A 56% / xG 1.4-2.2 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 9.2%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 1–3 6.8%

#4 0–2 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayern Alzenau1.4

Sandhausen2.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYERN ALZENAU · PPG 1.14

SANDHAUSEN · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Bayern Alzenau (H) 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sandhausen (A) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Alzenau face Sandhausen in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Alzenau a 24% chance, the draw 20% and Sandhausen 56%, so Sandhausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bayern Alzenau and 2.2 for Sandhausen (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Alzenau are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.73 for Sandhausen. This match finished 1-2.

Bayern Alzenau vs Sandhausen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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