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Acassuso vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 18:30

Acassuso

PPG 1.15 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLLD

UPCOMING

All Boys

PPG 0.46 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.6%0-111.0%0-23.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.5%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.2%2-16.0%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.9%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 40.0% 2.50 +12.8%

Draw 32.1% 38.5% 2.60 -16.5%

Away win 22.8% 32.3% 3.10 -17.6%

Over 2.5 34.6% 29.4% 3.40 +17.6%

Over 3.5 13.6% 14.3% 7.00 -2.9%

BTTS 41.7% 43.5% 2.30 -4.1%

Home O1.5 30.8% 28.6% 3.50 +7.8%

Away O1.5 14.0% 25.0% 4.00 -26.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 294 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob41.7%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.5%

#2 0–0 20.6%

#3 0–1 11.0%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Acassuso1.0

All Boys0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 13.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ACASSUSO · PPG 1.15

ALL BOYS · PPG 0.46

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Acassuso (H) 45.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +12.8%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -16.5%

All Boys (A) 22.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Acassuso face All Boys in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Acassuso a 45% chance, the draw 32% and All Boys 23%, so Acassuso are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Acassuso and 0.5 for All Boys (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Acassuso are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.46 for All Boys. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.6%.

Acassuso vs All Boys Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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