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Hillerod vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Hillerod

PPG 1.69 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Kolding IF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-19.7%0-24.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.8%1-112.9%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.2%2-18.6%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.1%3-13.8%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% 44.2% 2.26 +4.0%

Draw 27.9% 31.7% 3.15 -12.1%

Away win 26.1% 32.8% 3.05 -20.4%

Over 2.5 39.5% 50.0% 2.00 -21.0%

Over 3.5 19.4% 29.4% 3.40 -34.0%

BTTS 44.6% 58.8% 1.70 -24.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.8%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 0–0 10.4%

#4 0–1 9.7%

#5 2–0✓ 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hillerod1.3

Kolding IF0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.5% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HILLEROD · PPG 1.69

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Hillerod (H) 46.0%

ODDS 2.26 · IMPLIED 44.2% EV +4.0%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -12.1%

Kolding IF (A) 26.1%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -20.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hillerod face Kolding IF in Denmark - 1. Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hillerod a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Kolding IF 26%, so Hillerod are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Hillerod and 0.9 for Kolding IF (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hillerod are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.00 for Kolding IF. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.0%. This match finished 2-0.

Hillerod vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 1. Division Predictions