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Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three T. Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 8 Pudong Football Stadium· Shanghai Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:00
Shanghai Port logo Shanghai Port PPG 1.50
4-0 MISS
Wuhan Three T. logo Wuhan Three T. PPG 0.33
Over3.5· +40.9% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Port face Wuhan Three T. in China - Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Port a 75% chance, the draw 14% and Wuhan Three T. 11%, so Shanghai Port are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Shanghai Port and 1.1 for Wuhan Three T. (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Port are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.33 for Wuhan Three T.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +40.9%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 75.4%
Odds: 1.55 EV: +16.9%
Draw 13.8%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -43.4%
Away 10.9%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -45.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 77.7% Odds: 1.57 +22.0%
Over 3.5 58.7% Odds: 2.40 +40.9%
BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.57 +0.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Shanghai Port
3.00
Wuhan Three T.
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +22.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+40.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

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