Imisli vs Sumqayit Prediction— Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa

Match Preview & Prediction

Imisli face Sumqayit in Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Imisli a 28% chance, the draw 31% and Sumqayit 42%, so Sumqayit are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Imisli and 1.1 for Sumqayit (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Imisli are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 1.29 for Sumqayit. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.9%. This match finished 0-2.