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Grenoble vs Le Mans Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Grenoble

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Le Mans

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-114.8%0-28.3%0-33.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.4%2-16.0%2-23.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.6%3-11.8%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.1% 25.6% 3.90 +13.5%

Draw 30.4% 28.6% 3.50 +6.4%

Away win 40.5% 52.6% 1.90 -23.1%

Over 2.5 32.9% 51.8% 1.93 -36.5%

Over 3.5 14.6% 29.9% 3.35 -51.1%

BTTS 40.0% 57.8% 1.73 -30.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 24.9%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob40.0%

A 40% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.8%

#2 1–1✓ 13.4%

#3 0–0 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grenoble0.9

Le Mans1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.9% · O3.5 PROB 14.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GRENOBLE · PPG 1.40

LE MANS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Grenoble (H) 29.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +13.5%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +6.4%

Le Mans (A) 40.5%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Grenoble face Le Mans in France - Ligue 2 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grenoble a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Le Mans 41%, so Le Mans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Grenoble and 1.1 for Le Mans (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grenoble are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.67 for Le Mans. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Grenoble vs Le Mans Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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