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Ull/Kisa vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Ull/Kisa

PPG 0.88 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLDL

UPCOMING

Levanger

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5 81% chance

Model probability 80.0% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.9%0-26.3%0-36.8%0-4+12.4%1 1-01.4%1-14.6%1-27.5%1-38.1%1-4+14.7%2 2-00.8%2-12.7%2-24.4%2-34.8%2-4+8.7%3 3-00.3%3-11.1%3-21.7%3-31.9%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% 13.3% 7.50 -1.5%

Draw 15.2% 18.2% 5.50 -9.8%

Away win 71.7% 80.0% 1.25 -10.4%

Over 2.5 72.6% 76.9% 1.30 -5.6%

Over 3.5 52.5% 57.8% 1.73 -9.2%

BTTS 62.4% 61.7% 1.62 +1.1%

Home O1.5 33.0% 29.4% 3.40 +12.2%

Away O1.5 80.0% 82.0% 1.22 -2.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob62.4%

A 72% / xG 1.2-3.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 8.1%

#2 1–2 7.5%

#3 0–3 6.8%

#4 1–4 6.5%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ull/Kisa1.2

Levanger3.2

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ULL/KISA · PPG 0.88

LEVANGER · PPG 2.33

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

81%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.05 for Away, form 0.88 vs 2.33

Win probability 1X2

Ull/Kisa (H) 13.0%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV -1.5%

Draw 15.2%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -9.8%

Levanger (A) 71.7%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ull/Kisa face Levanger in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ull/Kisa a 13% chance, the draw 15% and Levanger 72%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ull/Kisa and 3.2 for Levanger (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ull/Kisa are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 2.33 for Levanger. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +13.9%.

Ull/Kisa vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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