Spennymoor vs Marine Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 46 The Brewery Field· Spennymoor, County Durham Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Spennymoor PPG 1.41

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Marine PPG 1.23

Away· -0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Spennymoor face Marine in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spennymoor a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Marine 30%, so Spennymoor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Spennymoor and 1.3 for Marine (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spennymoor are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.23 for Marine. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.6%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -13.4%

Draw 24.4%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -8.5%

Away 30.1%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -0.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.3% Odds: 1.62 -10.4%

Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.60 -14.2%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.55 -10.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Spennymoor

1.62

Marine

1.27

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.41), Away AVERAGE (1.23)