Southport vs Telford Utd Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 46 Haig Avenue· Southport, Merseyside Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Southport PPG 1.36

2-0 MISS

Telford Utd PPG 1.18

Over2.5· -3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Southport face Telford Utd in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Southport a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Telford Utd 46%, so Telford Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Southport and 1.8 for Telford Utd (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Southport are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.18 for Telford Utd. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.8%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -12.6%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -13.4%

Away 45.7%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -4.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.2% Odds: 1.48 -3.5%

Over 3.5 43.2% Odds: 2.20 -5.0%

BTTS 65.6% Odds: 1.42 -6.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Southport

1.51

Telford Utd

1.85

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.18)