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Yeovil Town vs Solihull Moors Prediction— England - National League

Regular Season - 46 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Yeovil Town

PPG 1.45 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Solihull Moors

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-19.5%0-26.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.9%1-112.6%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.6%2-18.3%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.9%3-13.7%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.0% 34.7% 2.88 +9.4%

Draw 26.5% 29.9% 3.35 -11.2%

Away win 35.5% 45.5% 2.20 -21.9%

Over 2.5 47.8% 54.6% 1.83 -12.5%

Over 3.5 26.1% 32.3% 3.10 -19.1%

BTTS 52.6% 60.6% 1.65 -13.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 9.5%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yeovil Town1.3

Solihull Moors1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

YEOVIL TOWN · PPG 1.45

SOLIHULL MOORS · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Yeovil Town (H) 38.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +9.4%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -11.2%

Solihull Moors (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -21.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yeovil Town face Solihull Moors in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yeovil Town a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Solihull Moors 36%, so Yeovil Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Yeovil Town and 1.3 for Solihull Moors (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yeovil Town are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.14 for Solihull Moors. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 1-4.

Yeovil Town vs Solihull Moors Prediction— England - National League

Match Preview & Prediction

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