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Woking vs Halifax Town Prediction— England - National League

Regular Season - 46 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Woking logo
Woking
PPG 1.41 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Halifax Town logo
Halifax Town
PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.9%0-23.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.9%1-110.8%1-25.8%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.8%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.5%3-16.0%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.2%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 54.8% 45.5% 2.20 +20.6%
Draw 22.9% 29.9% 3.35 -23.3%
Away win 22.3% 34.5% 2.90 -35.3%
Over 2.5 55.8% 56.5% 1.77 -1.2%
Over 3.5 33.4% 33.9% 2.95 -1.5%
BTTS 55.6% 61.7% 1.62 -9.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 37%
BTTS 44%
Score Hit 48%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.6%

H 55% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%
#2 1–0 9.9%
#3 2–1 9.8%
#4 2–0 9.1%
#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Woking1.8
Halifax Town1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WOKING · PPG 1.41

HALIFAX TOWN · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.41), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Woking (H) 54.8%
ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +20.6%
Draw 22.9%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -23.3%
Halifax Town (A) 22.3%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -35.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Woking face Halifax Town in England - National League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Woking a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Halifax Town 22%, so Woking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Woking and 1.1 for Halifax Town (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Woking are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.36 for Halifax Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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