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Suduva vs Panevezys Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:15

Suduva

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Panevezys

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-11.1%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.1%1-13.4%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.6%2-15.2%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-016.0%3-15.4%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-026.6%4+-18.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 90.3% — — —

Draw 7.6% — — —

Away win 2.0% — — —

Over 2.5 66.5% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 27.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob27.2%

H 90% / xG 3.1-0.3 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 16.0%

#2 2–0 15.6%

#3 4–0 12.4%

#4 1–0✓ 10.1%

#5 5–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suduva3.1

Panevezys0.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.5% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDUVA · PPG 2.20

PANEVEZYS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Suduva (H) 90.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Panevezys (A) 2.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suduva face Panevezys in Lithuania - A Lyga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suduva a 90% chance, the draw 8% and Panevezys 2%, so Suduva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Suduva and 0.3 for Panevezys (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suduva are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Panevezys. This match finished 1-0.

Suduva vs Panevezys Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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