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Roma U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Roma U20

PPG 1.59 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Juventus U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-15.3%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.2%1-110.1%1-23.9%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.9%3-16.1%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-14.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 14.5% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 45.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.6%

H 64% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.2%

#2 2–0 12.5%

#3 1–1✓ 10.1%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Roma U201.9

Juventus U200.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.59

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Roma U20 (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventus U20 (A) 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Roma U20 face Juventus U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Roma U20 a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Juventus U20 14%, so Roma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Roma U20 and 0.8 for Juventus U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Roma U20 are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.00 for Juventus U20. This match finished 1-1.

Roma U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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